Mladost Ždralovivs
Sesvete
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mladost Ždralovi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladost Ždralovi 1-0 Sesvete
Original prediction
Mladost Ždralovi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 39.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 29.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.3% | 30.4% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Mladost Ždralovi
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Mladost Ždralovi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20