Mladost Ždralovivs
Karlovac 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mladost Ždralovi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladost Ždralovi 1-0 Karlovac 1919
Original prediction
Mladost Ždralovi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 45.0% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 27.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.29 | 21.2% | 27.1% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Mladost Ždralovi
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Mladost Ždralovi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60