Mladost Ždralovivs
Jadran LP
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jadran LP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladost Ždralovi 1-0 Jadran LP
Original prediction
Jadran LP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 33.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.7% | 38.3% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Jadran LP
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Jadran LP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80