Mladost Ždralovivs
HNK Cibalia
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mladost Ždralovi 0-0 HNK Cibalia, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladost Ždralovi 2-1 HNK Cibalia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 34.8% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 32.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.1% | 32.4% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Mladost Ždralovi 0–0 HNK Cibalia
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mladost ŽdraloviLLWDD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HNK CibaliaWWDLD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mladost ŽdraloviHNK Cibalia
27.8Attack33.3
72.2Defence81.0
55.6Form61.9
54.9Power62.3
0.67xG0.71