GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 8/13/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dečić · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Mladost DG are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dečić are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dečić hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (39.5 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the First League, while Dečić holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dečić

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Dečić has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mladost DGDLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
DečićDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mladost DGDečić
34.2Attack50.9
45.6Defence75.0
30.7Form64.8
39.5Power64.4
0.51xG1.63
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