Mlada Boleslavvs
Zbrojovka Brno
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mlada Boleslav 2-0 Zbrojovka Brno
Original prediction
Mlada Boleslav
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.9% | 47.8% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.0% | 24.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.1% | 27.9% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Mlada Boleslav
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40