Mlada Boleslavvs
Teplice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Teplice
Original prediction
Mlada Boleslav
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.2% | 49.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.4% | 22.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.4% | 28.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Mlada Boleslav
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60