GGOALVIO

Czech-Republic · Czech Liga · 7/23/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mlada Boleslav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mlada Boleslav are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FK Jablonec are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Jablonec hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 85.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Czech Liga, while Mlada Boleslav holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mlada Boleslav

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mlada BoleslavWLDWW

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FK JablonecWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mlada BoleslavFK Jablonec
88.9Attack55.6
55.6Defence88.9
77.8Form100.0
75.3Power85.2
1.49xG1.35
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