Mlada Boleslavvs
Baník Ostrava
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mlada Boleslav · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mlada Boleslav 4-0 Baník Ostrava
Original prediction
Mlada Boleslav
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.9% | 51.1% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.1% | 25.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 31.0% | 23.8% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Mlada Boleslav
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Mlada Boleslav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20