Mladá Boleslav IIvs
Varnsdorf
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mladá Boleslav II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladá Boleslav II 1-1 Varnsdorf
Original prediction
Mladá Boleslav II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.1% | 44.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 26.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.3% | 29.1% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Mladá Boleslav II
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Mladá Boleslav II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60