UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 8 July 2026Last updated 10:12
ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk

Home
LL
14
Full time
Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova

Away
WW
Vitebsk CSK
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
ML Vitebsk(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Universitatea Craiova
Win probability
ML Vitebsk
40%
Draw
24%
Universitatea Craiova
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
ML Vitebsk
18
Universitatea Craiova
86
Defence
ML Vitebsk
14
Universitatea Craiova
82
Momentum
ML Vitebsk
0
Universitatea Craiova
100
Danger (xG)
ML Vitebsk
0.45
Universitatea Craiova
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (ML Vitebsk)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Universitatea Craiova)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (ML Vitebsk)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Universitatea Craiova)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ML VitebskML Vitebsk
LLWWD
Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
WDWWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
ML Vitebsk40%
Draw24%
Universitatea Craiova36%

ML Vitebsk leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

ML Vitebsk head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Vitebsk CSK in mixed form (LL), while Universitatea Craiova arrive in decent form (WW). ML Vitebsk have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Universitatea Craiova over 2 games.

Tactically, Universitatea Craiova hold the edge. Their elite attack (86/100) is pitted against a vulnerable ML Vitebsk defence (14/100), while ML Vitebsk's attack faces a watertight Universitatea Craiova backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

ML Vitebsk have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Universitatea Craiova have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Universitatea Craiova have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects ML Vitebsk to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: ML Vitebsk 3964%, Draw 2437%, Universitatea Craiova 3599%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

ML Vitebsk 0Draws 02 Universitatea Craiova
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/2
15 Jul 2026
ML Vitebsk
L01
Universitatea Craiova
8 Jul 2026
ML Vitebsk
L14
Universitatea Craiova

Recent form

ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk

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D
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Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova

W
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15 Jul 2026
10
D
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D
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Frequently asked questions

Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova?

GoalVio's model predicts ML Vitebsk to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more