ML Vitebskvs
Torpedo Zhodino
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/15/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ML Vitebsk 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
ML Vitebsk 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino
Original prediction
ML Vitebsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 71.6% | 66.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.3% | 20.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 10.05 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Projected Score
ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
66.9%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20