UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 14:55
ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk

Home
LL
30
Full time
Sutjeska

Sutjeska

Away
LL
Mezőkövesdi Városi Stadion
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
ML Vitebsk(41%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
ML Vitebsk
41%
Draw
26%
Sutjeska
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
ML Vitebsk
18
Sutjeska
18
Defence
ML Vitebsk
14
Sutjeska
27
Momentum
ML Vitebsk
0
Sutjeska
0
Danger (xG)
ML Vitebsk
0.45
Sutjeska
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (ML Vitebsk)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Sutjeska)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (ML Vitebsk)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Sutjeska)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ML VitebskML Vitebsk
LLWWD
SutjeskaSutjeska
LLW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
ML Vitebsk41%
Draw26%
Sutjeska33%

ML Vitebsk leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

ML Vitebsk head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Mezőkövesdi Városi Stadion in mixed form (LL), while Sutjeska arrive in mixed form (LL). ML Vitebsk have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Sutjeska over 2 games.

The model rates ML Vitebsk's attack at 18/100 against a 27/100 Sutjeska defence, and Sutjeska's attack at 18/100 against a 14/100 ML Vitebsk backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

ML Vitebsk have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Sutjeska have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between ML Vitebsk and Sutjeska in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects ML Vitebsk to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: ML Vitebsk 4081%, Draw 2575%, Sutjeska 3344%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk

L
@ Universitatea Craiova
15 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Universitatea Craiova
8 Jul 2026
14
W
@ Slavia Mozyr
1 Jul 2026
42
W
vs Naftan
27 Jun 2026
21
D
@ FC Minsk
21 Jun 2026
22
Sutjeska

Sutjeska

L
vs Kairat Almaty
15 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Kairat Almaty
8 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Dečić
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?

GoalVio's model predicts ML Vitebsk to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more