Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MKK-Dnepr · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
MKK-Dnepr are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Smorgon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MKK-Dnepr holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MKK-Dnepr
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
14.6%
MKK-Dnepr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60