ML Vitebskvs
Neman
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ML Vitebsk 1-0 Neman, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
ML Vitebsk 1-0 Neman
Original prediction
ML Vitebsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.7% | 57.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.6% | 26.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.7% | 16.8% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ML VitebskWWWDD
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NemanWWLWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ML VitebskNeman
71.0Attack43.1
73.9Defence72.2
72.5Form59.7
72.2Power60.0
1.31xG0.59