Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MKK-Dnepr · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
MKK-Dnepr are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Gomel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Premier League, while MKK-Dnepr holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MKK-Dnepr
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
15.9%
MKK-Dnepr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00