ML Vitebskvs
Baranovichi
SCHEDULEDBelarus · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
MKK-Dnepr are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Baranovichi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Premier League, while MKK-Dnepr holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
85.0%
Model confidence
14.0%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60