Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MŠK Senec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MŠK Senec 0-1 Rača
Original prediction
MŠK Senec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.4% | 40.5% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 26.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.9% | 33.2% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
MŠK Senec
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
MŠK Senec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MŠK SenecLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RačaLLWDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MŠK SenecRača
16.7Attack50.0
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
18.3Power21.5
1.67xG1.58