Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mjondalen 4-0 Træff
Original prediction
Mjondalen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.8% | 56.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.9% | 21.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.3% | 21.4% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MjondalenWWWLL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TræffLLLDW
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MjondalenTræff
100.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence16.7
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power36.3
2.86xG1.28