Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Mjondalen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Skeid are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mjondalen hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mjondalen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80