Mjondalenvs
Pors Grenland
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mjondalen 1-0 Pors Grenland
Original prediction
Mjondalen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.4% | 56.3% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.5% | 23.3% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 6.90 | 13.1% | 20.4% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40