Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Mjondalen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Moss are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.2 against 55.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mjondalen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40