Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
jerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mjondalen 0-3 jerv
Original prediction
jerv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 31.9% | 32.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 27.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.1% | 40.9% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
jerv
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
jerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MjondalenLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
jervWDWDL
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mjondalenjerv
50.0Attack59.0
50.0Defence57.7
50.0Form61.5
50.0Power60.9
1.37xG1.73