Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Mjondalen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Follo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mjondalen hold a 41.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mjondalen holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
8.7%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00