Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mjondalen 1-4 Brattvåg
Original prediction
Mjondalen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.5% | 43.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.9% | 25.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.6% | 31.3% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MjondalenWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrattvågLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MjondalenBrattvåg
65.3Attack70.8
59.7Defence54.2
69.4Form66.7
65.3Power64.3
1.96xG1.58