Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mjondalen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Mjondalen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Asane are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mjondalen hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the 1. Division, while Mjondalen holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mjondalen
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Mjondalen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80