GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mjallby AIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mjallby AIF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Mjallby AIF holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mjallby AIF

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

12.8%

Mjallby AIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mjallby AIFLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Red Bull SalzburgDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mjallby AIFRed Bull Salzburg
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power64.8
1.46xG1.45
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