GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mjallby AIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mjallby AIF 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes

Original prediction

Mjallby AIF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3271.2%41.6%-29.7 pts
Draw5.1818.2%26.5%8.3 pts
Away8.9310.6%31.9%21.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-29.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Mjallby AIF

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Mjallby AIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mjallby AIFDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Inter Club d'EscaldesWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Mjallby AIFInter Club d'Escaldes
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power70.9
1.20xG1.59
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