GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hammarby FF · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mjallby AIF 0-2 Hammarby FF

Original prediction

Hammarby FF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.0515.3%14.3%-1.0 pts
Draw4.4920.6%19.8%-0.9 pts
Away1.4564.0%65.9%1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–214%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.0–311%

Predicted outcome

Hammarby FF

Probability

65.9%

Model confidence

65.9%

Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mjallby AIFDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hammarby FFWLWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mjallby AIFHammarby FF
38.9Attack69.4
44.4Defence70.8
31.9Form63.9
40.1Power66.3
0.68xG2.29
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