GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 9/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Djurgardens IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mjallby AIF 0-2 Djurgardens IF

Original prediction

Djurgardens IF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.3821.6%16.7%-4.9 pts
Draw3.9823.8%19.2%-4.6 pts
Away1.7354.6%64.1%9.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.0–210%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Djurgardens IF

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mjallby AIFLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Djurgardens IFWWLLW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Mjallby AIFDjurgardens IF
47.1Attack75.9
47.1Defence64.8
39.2Form59.3
45.6Power64.2
1.01xG2.33
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