GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 10/10/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mjallby AIF · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mjallby AIF 1-1 Degerfors IF

Original prediction

Mjallby AIF

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8650.1%45.9%-4.2 pts
Draw3.5026.6%27.7%1.1 pts
Away3.9823.4%26.4%3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Mjallby AIF

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Mjallby AIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mjallby AIFLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Degerfors IFDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Mjallby AIFDegerfors IF
40.9Attack28.8
42.4Defence48.5
33.3Form28.8
40.5Power37.2
1.37xG0.90
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