Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Mixto W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bahia W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia W hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Brasileiro Women, while Bahia W holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bahia W
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Bahia W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00