MixtovsCapital Brasilia

Mixto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Capital Brasilia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.