Mixcovs
Cobán Imperial
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mixco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mixco 3-1 Cobán Imperial
Original prediction
Mixco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.6% | 51.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 23.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 20.0% | 25.5% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mixco
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Mixco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MixcoDDWLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cobán ImperialWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MixcoCobán Imperial
50.0Attack42.9
50.0Defence50.0
47.2Form38.1
50.7Power46.2
1.63xG1.15