Mixcovs
Antigua GFC
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antigua GFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mixco 3-1 Antigua GFC
Original prediction
Antigua GFC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.7% | 29.3% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 27.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.0% | 43.0% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Antigua GFC
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Antigua GFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20