GGOALVIO

Mixco logoMixcovsAlianza FC logoAlianza FC

SCHEDULED

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/28/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mixco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Alianza FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza FC hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Alianza FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza FC

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

12.9%

Alianza FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MixcoLWLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza FCDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MixcoAlianza FC
0.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
13.2Power23.7
1.42xG1.46
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