GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mitundu Baptist · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mitundu Baptist are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Karonga United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mitundu Baptist hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring Mitundu Baptist with 17.6% confidence, a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mitundu Baptist

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

17.6%

Mitundu Baptist has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mitundu BaptistDWDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Karonga UnitedWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mitundu BaptistKaronga United
33.3Attack36.1
66.7Defence41.7
50.0Form33.3
52.1Power40.0
1.30xG0.64
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