GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mitundu Baptist are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kamuzu Barracks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mitundu Baptist hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mitundu BaptistD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Kamuzu BarracksLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mitundu BaptistKamuzu Barracks
30.8Attack36.1
66.7Defence52.8
46.2Form30.6
49.9Power41.2
0.96xG0.64
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