Mito Hollyhockvs
Urawa
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Urawa
Original prediction
Mito Hollyhock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.8% | 45.0% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.9% | 22.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.3% | 32.9% | -12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Mito Hollyhock
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60