Mito Hollyhockvs
Shimizu S-pulse
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mito Hollyhock · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mito Hollyhock 0-0 Shimizu S-pulse, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse
Original prediction
Mito Hollyhock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 35.7% | 41.0% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 29.2% | 29.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 35.1% | 29.1% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Mito Hollyhock 0–0 Shimizu S-pulse
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Mito Hollyhock
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00