Mito Hollyhockvs
Machida Zelvia
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Original prediction
Machida Zelvia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.25 | 22.0% | 27.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.4% | 27.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 49.6% | 45.2% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60