Mito Hollyhockvs
Machida Zelvia
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mito Hollyhock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20