Mito Hollyhockvs
Kawasaki Frontale
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale
Original prediction
Mito Hollyhock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 29.0% | 39.4% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.4% | 24.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 44.6% | 36.1% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Mito Hollyhock
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40