GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mito Hollyhock are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

12.9%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mito HollyhockDDLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Kashiwa ReysolLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Mito HollyhockKashiwa Reysol
33.3Attack83.3
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power86.5
1.13xG1.64
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