Mito Hollyhockvs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mito Hollyhock are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
12.9%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60