Mito Hollyhockvs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mito Hollyhock 4-2 Kashima
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.99 | 23.5% | 30.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.4% | 26.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.2% | 43.5% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mito HollyhockDLWDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KashimaWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mito HollyhockKashima
50.0Attack91.7
58.3Defence50.0
41.7Form100.0
51.6Power84.6
1.36xG1.63