Mito Hollyhockvs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mito Hollyhock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kashima are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
12.5%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60