USL League TwoUSL League Two
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 12:36
Mississippi Brilla

Mississippi Brilla

Home
WW
41
Full time
Jackson Boom

Jackson Boom

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
65% confidence
Mississippi Brilla(65%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Mississippi Brilla
Win probability
Mississippi Brilla
65%
Draw
20%
Jackson Boom
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mississippi Brilla
99
Jackson Boom
9
Defence
Mississippi Brilla
82
Jackson Boom
0
Momentum
Mississippi Brilla
100
Jackson Boom
0
Danger (xG)
Mississippi Brilla
3.60
Jackson Boom
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 3.68 xG for Mississippi Brilla and 1.11 xG for Jackson Boom — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 3-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Mississippi Brilla holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.79 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Mississippi Brilla's Attack Score (99) vs Jackson Boom's Defensive Stability (0) and Jackson Boom's attack (9) vs Mississippi Brilla's defence (82) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Mississippi Brilla)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Jackson Boom)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Mississippi Brilla)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Jackson Boom)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Mississippi BrillaMississippi Brilla
WWW
Jackson BoomJackson Boom
LL

Probability breakdown

65% confidence
Mississippi Brilla65%
Draw20%
Jackson Boom15%

Mississippi Brilla leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Mississippi Brilla Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-0

Mississippi Brilla host Jackson Boom in USL League Two. Mississippi Brilla have recorded DWWWLW in recent matches while Jackson Boom arrive with a run of LLLLLL. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.68 expected goals for Mississippi Brilla against 1.11 for Jackson Boom — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Mississippi Brilla's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 65% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 📈 Recent Form Mississippi Brilla arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (DWWWLW) against Jackson Boom's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Mississippi Brilla are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.68 projected against 1.11 for Jackson Boom. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 2.56 is the clearest signal in the model that Mississippi Brilla are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Mississippi Brilla are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Mississippi Brilla have been conceding 1.74 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Mississippi Brilla 2Draws 00 Jackson Boom
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/2
5 Jul 2026
Mississippi Brilla
W50
Jackson Boom
28 Jun 2026
Mississippi Brilla
W41
Jackson Boom

Recent form

Mississippi Brilla

Mississippi Brilla

W
@ Jackson Boom
5 Jul 2026
50
W
@ Memphis 901
1 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Jackson Boom
28 Jun 2026
41
Jackson Boom

Jackson Boom

L
vs Mississippi Brilla
5 Jul 2026
05
L
@ Mississippi Brilla
28 Jun 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mississippi Brilla vs Jackson Boom?

GoalVio's model predicts Mississippi Brilla to win with 65% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mississippi Brilla vs Jackson Boom?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Mississippi Brilla vs Jackson Boom?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mississippi Brilla vs Jackson Boom?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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