Mirassol U20vs
Ponte Preta U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mirassol U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mirassol U20 2-3 Ponte Preta U20
Original prediction
Mirassol U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.4% | 52.2% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 24.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.4% | 23.2% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Mirassol U20
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Mirassol U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60