Mirandesvs
Unionistas de Salamanca
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mirandes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mirandes 0-0 Unionistas de Salamanca, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mirandes 1-0 Unionistas de Salamanca
Original prediction
Mirandes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.5% | 39.1% | -23.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.4% | 30.4% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 6.01 | 15.1% | 30.5% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Projected Score
Mirandes 0–0 Unionistas de Salamanca
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Mirandes
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Mirandes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20