Mirandesvs
Racing Ferrol
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mirandes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mirandes 0-0 Racing Ferrol, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mirandes 2-0 Racing Ferrol
Original prediction
Mirandes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.2% | 36.6% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 29.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.3% | 33.9% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
Mirandes 0–0 Racing Ferrol
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Mirandes
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Mirandes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MirandesLDLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Racing FerrolWWWLW
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MirandesRacing Ferrol
47.6Attack38.1
57.1Defence81.0
52.4Form71.4
54.7Power66.2
0.90xG1.00